Before Vice President Debate, Palin Already Beating Biden

Initially, 67% of voters didn’t have enough information on Sarah Palin to have any opinion whatsoever.  But after the rush of media coverage, 53% now have a favorable opinion of her, versus only 26% with an unfavorable opinion, said Rasmussen.

The most important quote:

“Palin earns positive reviews from 78% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats and 63% of unaffiliated voters. Obviously, these numbers will be subject to change as voters learn more about her in the coming weeks. Among all voters, 29% have a Very Favorable opinion of Palin while 9% hold a Very Unfavorable view.”

By way of comparison, on the day he was selected as Barack Obama’s running mate, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden was viewed favorably by 43% of voters.

What I find significant about this is the two numbers – 53% and 63%.  We have never seen Barack Obama or Joe Biden – or for that matter John McCain – poll over 50% at any time.  Paliln’s pull with unaffiliated voters seems incredibly promising.

The full article followed by additional commentary appears below:

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–>Sarah Palin has made a good first impression. Before being named as John McCain’s running mate, 67% of voters didn’t know enough about the Alaska governor to have an opinion. After her debut in Dayton and a rush of media coverage, a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 53% now have a favorable opinion of Palin while just 26% offer a less flattering assessment.

Palin earns positive reviews from 78% of Republicans, 26% of Democrats and 63% of unaffiliated voters. Obviously, these numbers will be subject to change as voters learn more about her in the coming weeks. Among all voters, 29% have a Very Favorable opinion of Palin while 9% hold a Very Unfavorable view.

By way of comparison, on the day he was selected as Barack Obama’s running mate, Delaware Senator Joseph Biden was viewed favorably by 43% of voters.

Full demographic crosstabs results by gender, age, race, ideology, party, most important issues and more are available to Premium Members. There’s just two more days to save with summer rates on Premium Memberships. Sign up now and save. Learn More.

Palin’s selection may have already provided a short-term boost for McCain by muting any further convention bounce following Obama’s successful acceptance speech on Thursday night. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll on Saturday shows little change from the numbers released on Friday morning.

In the new survey, 35% of voters say the selection of Palin makes them more likely to vote for McCain while 33% say they are less likely to do so. Most Republicans say they are more likely to vote for Palin and most Democrats say the opposite. As for voters not affiliated with either major party, 37% are more likely to vote for McCain and 28% less likely to do so. Those numbers are a bit more positive than initial reaction to Biden.

Palin is only the second woman to ever be on a major national political ticket after Democrat Geraldine Ferraro in 1984. Her choice is clearly aimed at peeling away disaffected female voters in the Democratic Party still smarting from Hillary Clinton’s failure to grab the nomination – and Barack Obama’s decision not to even consider her for the number two slot. This was clear when Palin praised Ferraro and Clinton — to the Republican crowd — following McCain’s introduction of her yesterday. Referring to the number of votes Clinton received in the Democratic primaries, she said, “It was rightly noted in Denver this week that Hillary left 18 million cracks in the highest, hardest glass ceiling in America, but it turns out the women of America aren’t finished yet and we can shatter that glass ceiling once and for all.”

After McCain’s announcement, Clinton issued a statement saying, “We should all be proud of Governor Sarah Palin’s historic nomination, and I congratulate her and Senator McCain. While their policies would take America in the wrong direction, Governor Palin will add an important new voice to the debate.” Palin is now viewed favorably by 48% of women. That figure includes 80% of Republican women, 23% of Democratic women, and 61% of women not affiliated with either major party.

Forty percent (40%) of voters say Palin was the right choice for McCain. That’s comparable to the 39% who initially said Biden was the right choice for Obama. Following the Democratic National Convention, the number who believed Biden was the right choice grew to 47%. It will be especially significant to see where Palin’s numbers are following the GOP gathering next week.

When Biden was selected, just over half (52%) of Democrats believed he was the right choice. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Republicans say McCain picked the right running mate in Palin, and 40% of unaffiliated voters agree. A week ago, 31% of unaffiliateds said the same about Obama’s selection.

Republicans were evenly divided as to whether Biden was the right choice for Obama, but Democrats strongly reject Palin as McCain’s best option. Only 22% of those in Obama’s party say Palin was the right choice, while 47% disagree.

Just 29% of voters say Palin is ready to be president if necessary, ten points below the 39% who said the same a week ago about Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a 36-year member of the Senate. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Republican voters say she is ready along with 32% of unaffiliated voters and 11% of Democrats.

Democrats already have begun to attack Palin for a lack of Washington experience even though the message of their party’s presidential ticket is change. One of the reasons McCain clearly chose Palin is because she is the ultimate Washington outsider, even coming from the state on the continental United States that is furthest from the Nation’s Capital. Joe Biden has been in the Senate since Palin was nine years old.

By the end of the Democratic National Convention, the number who said Biden was ready to be President grew by ten points to 49%. Again, it will be especially significant to see where Palin’s numbers are following the Republican National Convention.

In Alaska, the 44-year old Palin’s job performance as governor gets good or excellent marks from 64% of voters statewide.

My view is this: the Vice Presidency may be more important this year than it has ever been before.  John McCain didn’t go for a single in selecting Palin; he swung for the bleachers.  Babe Ruth had the home run record for decades; but he struck out more than anyone as well.

If Sarah Palin comes out of the Convention with a great speech and a great presentation, she will build steadily on her already great first “take.”  If she performs well on the campaign trail – and especially if she outperforms Joe Biden – John McCain will be the next President of the United States.  If she fails to live up to her “hype,” McCain will likely lose the election.  Palin is that critical to this ticket.

My view of this lady is that “she’s got it goin’ ON!”  I think she will perform magnificently.  Interestingly, I wonder if the angst over whether Biden should come out aggresively against Palin, or hold back because she’s a woman (“and you shouldn’t beat up on a woman and mother”), might discombobulate him.  He will continually have to walk a fine line, many analysts say, and it may neuter him.  Sarah Palin, on the other hand, will be free to be Sarah Palin.

I’m saying my prayers for Sarah.  I think God will answer them in this remarkable woman.  She has already won my confidence.

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3 Responses to “Before Vice President Debate, Palin Already Beating Biden”

  1. veggiedude Says:

    Gavin Newsom is the Mayor of San Francisco. He governs a city that has 200,000 more people than the State of Alaska. That should put things into perspective.

    McCain has never been a mayor or a governor. Does that make him less qualified than Palin?

    Nonsense. Like McCain, Obama was a state Senator.

    Palin is underqualified.

  2. Michael Eden Says:

    Dude,
    You’re arguing with a poll.

    Obama is underqualified at the top of the ticket where it hurts the most.

  3. loomisnews Says:

    I’m very exciited, and couldn’t be happier that McCain chose Palin!

    http://loomisnews.wordpress.com/2008/08/31/i-heart-sarah-palin/

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