Posts Tagged ‘Fordham University’

Polls Most Damning Of Obama Now Were Most Accurate In 2008

September 4, 2009

I was watching CNN and they kept referring to a CNN poll that had Obama’s approval at 53%.  And one of the panelists was arguing, Obama is in good shape; he’s only lost one point from the election.”

Well, that didn’t sound quite – well, sane – to me.  I’ve been seeing polls from Rasmussen and Zogby that have Obama as low as 42%.  So it occurred to me to ask the question, which poll is reflecting reality?  And then it occurred to me to examine the recent past in order to understand who was best representing reality now.

Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos says Rasmussen and Pew were tied for #1.  They were spot-on in predicting the outcome and margin of the 2008 presidential campaign:

1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*

6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)

11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)

16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)

21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweek (10/22-23)

I couldn’t find recent results for Pew regarding presidential approval, but faith and begorrah, Rasmussen is out there for our review:

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 28% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12 (see trends). Republicans have opened their largest lead yet over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot. […]

Overall, 46% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) now disapprove.

So the number one pollster gives Obama only 46% approval – a far shot from 53%.

This seven point difference between polls is huge because it crosses the middle and brings Obama from still very positive to entering very negative.  At 46%, Obama can no longer claim to have the nation behind him.  On top of that, the people who are coming to genuinely despise him now outnumber the people who truly adore him by a whopping 12 points.

It also tells us that Obama has basically lost a whopping 1/6th of the voters who put him in office.  That doesn’t say much about how people view Obama’s governance.

When you see a CBS poll (which claims Obama’s approval has dipped only slightly at 56%), just realize that they are at the very bottom sucking the scum with the catfish in terms of their credibility.  They dramatically overstated Obama’s popularity during the presidential election; why on earth should you trust them now?

We’re still being told how popular and how wonderful President Obama is by the mainline media.  What we’re NOT being told is that his is the 3rd fastest drop to 50% since scientific polls were taken.  Bill Clinton was the fastest; and his party suffered the most massive defeat in history two years after his election.  He then managed to regain his popularity largely by cooperating with the Republican agenda that proceeded to dominate the rest of his administration.

Zogby has Obama all the way down to 42%, which they primarily attributed to his own Democratic base leaving him.

Don’t let the media fool you into thinking that Barack Obama is the popular president whose views are shared by most Americans.  He’s just not.  He started out nearly as popular as Jimmy Carter when he first took office; and Jimmy Carter seems to be the model this presidency will follow as he leads the country into ruin.

Obama has lost more than 20 points by most polls, and largely squandered his initial popularity and approval by ramming one massive spending initiative and socialist project after another through a liberal Congress that isn’t even bothering to read their bills.  He started with a +30 approval index rating; he has now lost an incredible 42 points at his present -12.

From the moment Barack Obama took over this country, he has advanced one radical agenda after another, one shockingly expensive plan after another.  And a massive movement is beginning.  It is being driven by the same independents who turned against Bush the last two election cycles; they are now turning against Obama in droves.

66% of independents are now opposed to Obama.

Barack Obama does not represent America, or the will of the people.  Rather, he represents the radical leftist fringe of the country.