Posts Tagged ‘Polling’

(It’s How They Poll, Too): Mainstream Media ‘Counts’ 18,000 Obama Worshipers In Unfilled 5,000 Seat Wisconsin Arena

September 24, 2012

Yes, God DOES have a special place in hell reserved for “journalists.”

If you’ve got some naive place left in you somewhere that thinks that the media really is actually trying to report the news objectively and accurately, this ought to send it to that psychological trash bin where you’ve put Santa Claus, the Easter Bunny, and other fairy tales:

Media Put 18,000 in Not-Quite-Full 5,000-Seat Arena for Obama in Wisconsin
by Joel B. Pollak22 Sep 2012

President Barack Obama is having trouble drawing large crowds on the campaign trail. At the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, his campaign was forced to move his acceptance speech from the 74,000-seat Bank of America Stadium to the 20,000 Time Warner Cable Arena, citing weather as the excuse. But the media are always eager to help–for example, putting 18,000 people inside a 5,000-seat arena at an Obama event in Milwaukee on Saturday.

The contradiction was first noted by battlegroundwatch.com. Local media, including the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, reported that Obama had addressed “supporters who filled the 5,000-seat BMO Harris Pavilion, along with thousands more who sat in bleachers and stood on the pavement beyond the protection of the roof, even as wind and rain lashed down in the latter moments of the near 30-minute speech.”

The pavilion was not “filled”–a local reporter for Patch.com filmed empty seats in the bleachers at the side of the arena (see above). Nevertheless, the Journal-Sentinal played it safe, putting attendance at roughly 5,000-plus, a small but respectable turnout.

That’s not how national media covered it. Darren Samuelsohn of Politico reported that the president addressed “a crowd the Obama campaign estimated at 18,000 in a city park overlooking Lake Michigan” in an attempt to “lock up” Wisconsin.

Laura Meckler of the Wall Street Journal–whose news section, according to UCLA professor Tim Groseclose, is the most liberal of any major mainstream outlet–repeated the campaign’s 18,000 claim without even revealing the source of the official-sounding estimate.

Both outlets described the location of the rally as a “park,” without revealing the name of the arena itself, which would have given the game away.

The images provided by news wires are predominantly close-up shots such as the one above, showing Obama surrounded by a small circle of supporters. Only Getty Images has a wider shot, similar to images at the left-wing message board Democratic Underground that show the inside of the arena. That’s a full-ish arena, but nowhere near 18,000 people.

There seem to be no images at all of the 13,000 people who supposedly made up the difference outside the BMO Harris Pavilion.

(I’ll be happy to correct this article if anyone can find any.)

Meanwhile, the nation is being told that Obama drew a massive crowd–nearly the size of the crowd at his acceptance speech in Charlotte–in a crucial swing state six weeks before the election is over.

If Obama were really doing so well, why would the media have to resort to such distortions?

And why would he be in Wisconsin in the first place?

Perdog has a pictorial illustration for us as to just how profoundly wrong and obviously beyond biased the mainstream media is in its “counting”:

The 0bumugabe Rally

What 18,000 person crowd looks like

BMO Harris arena has a maximum seating capacity of 5,000 – with a capacity of 2,500 in the lower (blue) gallery and another capacity of 2,500 in the upper gallery:

I guess the media counts Obama crowds the way the Democrat Party counts Obama votes – you know, all the dead people count, too.

It’s also how they “count” unemployed people to come up with 8.1%, of course.

The mainstream media is coming up with utterly bogus polls that dramatically oversample Democrats in order to create an illusion of inevitability which they hope will discourage voters (the way Obama has discouraged workers resulting in artificially low unemployment numbers) to become a self-fulfilling prophecy.  It’s part of the same lie that results in an unfilled 5,000 capacity arena holding 18,000 Obama worshipers.

The fact of the matter is that there is a HUGE enthusiasm/turnout gap this year favoring Republicans:

CBS Poll: GOP Has Huge Turnout Edge Over Dems
by Mike Flynn19 Sep 2012, 9:15 AM PDT

One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they’re basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media polls are an assuming an electorate that is at least as Democrat as the one in 2008, with many polls assuming a higher Democrat turnout. This is just daft. The latest CBS poll of 3 swing states is the most recent to show that GOP has a huge turnout advantage over Democrats.
 
Yesterday, CBS/NYT released its latest Quinnipiac poll of Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin. With the exception of CO, the polls had heavy Democrat skews, so the head-to-head match-ups aren’t particularly informative. What was telling though was the differences in enthusiasm between the two parties.
 
In all three states, a majority of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year, compared to about a third of Democrats who are. In Colorado and Virginia, GOP voters are more enthusiastic than Democrats by a 15 point margin. In Wisconsin, GOP enthusiasm outpaces Democrats by 16 points.
 
Particularly interesting is that GOP voters have become more enthusiastic about voting in the past month. GOP enthusiasm has increased 9 points in CO, 10 points in WI and 12 points in VA. Democrat enthusiasm, meanwhile has increased only modestly; 5 points in VA, 4 in WI and 10 in CO (from a very low 28% of Democrats who were more enthusiastic about voting).
 
If these trends continue, today’s head-to-head numbers will be wildly off base, as the electorate this November will be very different than the one that voted in 2008.
 
Keep in mind, GOP voters in these swing states have become more enthusiastic about voting in the midst of a weeks-long assault on Romney by the Democrat-media industrial complex. Since the beginning of the Democrat convention, the media have reported that Obama was surging, Romney was flailing, and the election was all but over. And yet, GOP voting enthusiasm increased.
 
The media reports of the death of the Romney campaign are not just exaggerated, they are flights of fantasy made up from whole cloth. GOP voters are clearly ready to rumble this fall.

Not only is Republican enthusians – which WILL show up in turnout on election day – far higher than Democrats’, but Rasmussen just measured the highest number and percentage of Republicans EVER recorded in its history:

During August, 37.6% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s up from 34.9% in Julyand 35.4% in June. It’s also the largest number of Republicans ever recorded by Rasmussen Report since monthly tracking began in November 2002. The previous peak for the GOP was 37.3% in September 2004. See History of Party Trends.

You’ve got to realize that the mainstream media has been increasingly blatantly dishonest propagandists and simply ignore the polls and get out and vote.

They think they can help Obama with their version of Jedi mind tricks.  And of course they might be right.  It’s up to you to ignore “the gang of 500” and keep them from hijacking America yet again.

Maybe Democrats Should Change Their Symbol To An Ostrich

February 9, 2010

I had a very brief conversation with my Democrat neighbor (a retired professor emeritus in education).  I asked him what he thought about Obama.  He said he liked him, and I left it there: no point arguing with a fool – especially if that fool happens to be your neighbor.

But I was pretty shocked that an otherwise intelligent man would be unable to see that the president he likes so much is utterly laying waste to the party he likes so much.

There is more and more evidence coming out that even DEMOCRATS are recognizing that Barack Obama is a total failure as a president.  And I recently wrote a piece that quoted from a number of Democrat-written articles lamenting the complete failure that their failure-in-chief has turned out to be.

Obama’s polls have gone from the stratosphere right into the toilet bowl as Americans have finally begun to comprehend what this radical leftist is trying to do.

Republicans have won every single statewide election since Obama took office – with every victory occurring in states that voted heavily for Obama.  Obama actually managed to transform Camelot into a Republican state – something nobody would have dreamed possible only a short time ago.

But Democrats – and apparently the “smartest” Democrats in particular – continue to keep their heads shoved into the ground (or their rear ends).

Republicans certainly had their fair share of self-delusion in 2006 when the Democrats took control of both the House and the Senate.  But as bad as it was, it wasn’t even close to this Obama-as-Messiah-worshiping disregard for reality.

But more and more and more news keeps coming out:

Americans Losing Hope, Looking For Change

By Ed Carson

Tue., Feb. 09, ’10    10:00 AM ET
(IBD)Voters are souring on the economy and the government’s remedies, according to February’s IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. It fell 4.1% to 46.8, matching December’s level and the weakest since July.

“Persisting high unemployment and a wobbly stock market dampened January’s optimism,” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TIPP, IBD’s polling partner. Readings below 50 signal pessimism.

Confidence in federal economic politics dived 7% to 38.3, the lowest since President Obama took office. That’s consistent with other polls showing a strong shift by Americans away from big government over the past year. The $787 billion stimulus failed to keep unemployment from soaring to double digits, now 9.7%. But it helped the deficit explode to $1.4 trillion in fiscal 2009, with $1.6 trillion seen in 2010.

Obama has tried to stress economic issues since Scott Brown’s stunning Massachusetts election victory derailed health care legislation. He’s railed against fat-cat bankers while proposing new taxes and further curbs on the biggest banks. That populism can win easy political points, but it can also backfire. Stocks have sold off since Obama began his anti-Wall Street rhetoric.

He’s also proposed a jobs bill that includes a hiring credit for employers. But some Democratic lawmakers question that idea while many experts say the latest stimulus plans are too modest to make much of an impact. And any government boost will add to the gusher of red ink.

The new emphasis on jobs and the economy also is an implicit admission that for much of the past year Obama’s focus has been on health care.

That was a mistake in the eyes of independents. Their view of federal economic policies tumbled 12.7% vs. January and 30.3% since September.

Independents disapprove of Obama’s handling of economic issues by a 2-1 ratio (50%-25%). Just 3% think he’s doing an excellent job while 29% say it’s unacceptable. This extends a recent trend.

Swing voters’ view of Obama’s overall job performance sank 7.9% in February to 40.8, a new low for him. A year earlier, the rating was 72.9.

The IBD/TIPP Presidential Leadership Index dipped 0.6 point to 50.2, holding just above the neutral 50 mark thanks to continued strong support from his liberal base. But the White House and congressional leaders fear most voters will soon lock in their negative views of the economy for the rest of the year, even if conditions improve in the summer.

That may already be happening. Three-fourths of independents have a favorable view of the tea party movement and say one-party control of the White House and Congress has been bad.

As today’s IBD story notes, independents were a key part of Obama’s coalition in 2008. But no longer:

“They truly believed in his campaign message of hope and change, but Obama’s performance has disappointed them,” Mayur said.

Independents are increasingly anxious about the economy as well as soaring government spending and deficits. Obama may be tempted to keep playing to his solid liberal base, but that could further alienate moderates.

Then again, maybe Obama can’t take his base for granted. His health care agenda is comatose, though Obama hasn’t issued a DNR order yet. Meanwhile, cap and trade is going nowhere, the Gitmo prison is still open and unions’ hoped-for card check bill never had much momentum. And while independents took the sharpest downturn in February, Democrats’ were less enchanted with federal economic policies and the six-month economic outlook. What’s going to motivate left-liberals, greens and labor to turn out in the midterm elections?

On the upside, Americans’ view of their own finances edged up 0.1 point to 53.5, holding in a tight range of modest optimism. But that’s well below the pre-recession reading of 60.8 in February 2007.

IBD/TIPP conducted the national poll of 902 adults from Feb. 1-7. The margin of error is +/-3.3 percentage points.

It wasn’t all that long ago before the way-too-left-leaning media pundits were smarmily predicting the permanent demise of the Republican Party and the permanent ascendancy of the Democrat Party.  They virtually ignored the Tea Party movement that now dominates the current political picture – and the coverage the movement has since received has been both incredibly condescending and incredibly biased.

No matter.  The mainstream media is merely another exemplification of the nation repudiating the left: now Fox News – the very Fox News that Obama repeatedly attempted to demonize – is the most trusted name in news.  And it is dominating the ratings as people increasingly abandon leftwing propaganda and embrace reality.

The Democrat-mainstream media industrial complex broadcasts the narrative that it’s the other way around – with quintessentially racist fearmongers hatefully attacking the Obama administration agenda and spreading a viral spirit of fear and obstructionism – but their narrative couldn’t be more wrong.  In reality, the American people gave Obama and the total Democrat majority a fair chance: and they recognize that Obama and the Democrats have utterly failed.

Obama’s polls nosedived to an all-time low yesterday, with the Marris-College survey revealing that Independents now oppose Obama by a 2-1 margin, and his approval has plunged to 44%.

And a whopping 75% of Americans are angry at the policies of the Obama and Democrat-controlled government.

CNN – which led off every single hour with Bush’s poll numbers when they hit their lowest point – did not bother to mention Obama’s poll numbers even ONCE last night.  Instead, they gleefully mocked the fact that Sarah Palin had written a total of four points on her palm.

A complete addiction to the Teleprompter of the United States of America is fine, as is referring to the highly-trained Navy medical personnel who save the lives of Marines on the battlefields as “corpse men“; writing seven words on one’s palm is apparently just beyond the pale.

CNN and the rest of the mainstream media are as dishonest as they think they can possibly get away with.

Independents are leaving Obama and the Democrat Party the way rats must have left the Titanic.  And it is quite possible that Democrats will abandon the Democrat Party before long, as Obama, Pelosi, and Reid continue to attempt to impose contemptible policies upon an American people who have done everything imaginable to scream that they do not want them.

If a few elitist Democrats want to continue to serenely play their violins while their party literally sinks around them, it will only make their going down all the sweeter.

Massachusetts Senate Race: Republican Scott Brown LEADING Democrat

January 10, 2010

Let me just say this.  If Republican Scott Brown defeats Democrat Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate seat special election on January 19th – as is looking increasingly possible – you can bet that Democrats will be in for the mother of all ass-whoopings in November.

And ObamaCare will likely be DOA as the Democrats lose their filibuster-proof majority eight months and change early.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 9, 2010

Senate Race Competitive

Raleigh, N.C. – The race to replace Ted Kennedy in the US Senate is looking like a toss up, with Republican Scott Brown up 48-47 on Martha Coakley.

Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those planning to vote in the special election only report having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 by a 16 point margin, in contrast to his actual 26 point victory in the state.

That decline in turnout from Obama voters plagued Democratic candidates for Governor in Virginia and New Jersey last fall. Beyond that 66% of Republicans say they’re ‘very excited’ about turning out while only 48% of Democrats express that sentiment.

Brown leads 63-31 with independents and is winning 17% of the Democratic vote while Coakley receives only 6% support from GOP voters. Both candidates are relatively popular, with 57% viewing Brown favorably to only 25% unfavorable and 50% with a positive opinion of Coakley to 42% negative.

Those folks planning to vote in the special election are actually opposed to Obama’s health care plan by a 47/41 margin and only narrowly express approval of the President’s overall job performance 44/43.

“The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Martha Coakley’s complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable.”

PPP surveyed 744 likely Massachusetts voters from January 7th to 9th. The margin of error is +/-3.6%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Complete results are attached and can be found at http://www.publicpolicypolling.com.

I don’t know which poll is most accurate, or which candidate will win.  But this is a solid, legitimate poll with all the questions and cross tabs available at the Public Policy Polling site, which features the above summary.

If you haven’t done so, let me make a personal appeal for a donation to the Brown campaign.  If you have done so, thank you, and please do so again.

Join me and donate:

You can also get involved by volunteering from your own home in Brown’s Call From Home Program.

And whether you can afford to donate to this incredibly important race or not, please pray for the wisdom of the Massachusetts voters.  And pray for a Scott Brown victory.

This might be our last/only chance to stop the ObamaCare disaster.

UPDATE January 12: Rasmussen’s latest poll confirms the general accuracy of the PPP poll, putting Brown down by only 2 points (49-47).  And given that just one week ago, the same Rasmussen poll had the Democrat Coakley up by 9, we can readily see who has the momentum and who doesn’t.

Republican Scott Brown answered a question about a Republican taking Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat during the debate last night.  He answered saying, “It’s not Ted Kennedy’s seat, and it’s not the Democrat Party’s seat.  It’s the American people’s seat.”